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The 1967 Rate-Cut Playbook: Rally First, Stagflation Later

The 1967 rate cuts show how policy can manufacture a rally before the bill arrives. Phase one was a bull market. Stocks surged, confidence returned, the Fed-will-fix-it narrative dominated, and valuations expanded. By 1969, wage growth accelerated, commodities surged, and inflation re-ignited. The Fed reversed course aggressivelybut too late. What followed was stagflation: high inflation, […]

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Market Reaction After the 1967 Rate Cuts

The 1967 rate cuts offer a useful warning for today’s market. Phase 1: Bull Market (19671968) Stocks surged Confidence returned The Fed has this under control” narrative dominated Valuations expanded Sound familiar? Phase 2: Inflation Breaks Loose (1969) Wage growth accelerated Commodities surged Inflation re-ignited The Fed reversed course aggressively too late. What followed was

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AI Infrastructure Is Pulling Capital Toward Power-Rich Operators

The AI buildout is turning capital allocation into an infrastructure race. The headline numbers are enormous: the largest platforms are guiding to hundreds of billions of dollars of annual capital spending. But the spending does not accrue evenly across the ecosystem. It moves first toward the assets that can become usable compute soonest. That is

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This is not the 2000 dot-bomb

This is NOT 2000 Dot Bomb! We actually have accelerating earnings and AI induced efficiency. @bluechipdaily & I did a @TheROShowPod in Feb24. Are We In A Tech Bubble? Larry Tentarelli Ep.117 You can’t have a stock market bubble if earnings are growing faster than expectations, multiples are compressing, and companies are becoming more productive

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